Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.055785 0.066093 0.077657 0.091576 0.107857 0.126286 0.148710
2025-04-27 0.040266 0.053613 0.070293 0.092597 0.121566 0.157839 0.206622
2025-05-04 0.031197 0.045493 0.064914 0.093071 0.132677 0.186197 0.263775
2025-05-11 0.025534 0.040161 0.061454 0.094451 0.143983 0.215188 0.324831
2025-05-18 0.021961 0.036884 0.059944 0.097783 0.157832 0.248810 0.396241
2025-05-25 0.017913 0.031972 0.054930 0.094635 0.160931 0.266290 0.445114
2025-06-01 0.015327 0.028914 0.052238 0.094537 0.168465 0.291082 0.507961
2025-06-08 0.013070 0.025975 0.049195 0.093218 0.173502 0.312045 0.566615
2025-06-15 0.011727 0.024450 0.048348 0.095529 0.184962 0.344933 0.649164
2025-06-22 0.010180 0.022242 0.045867 0.094380 0.189841 0.366598 0.714048
2025-06-29 0.008748 0.020001 0.042954 0.091911 0.191769 0.382892 0.770635
2025-07-06 0.007489 0.017895 0.039972 0.088818 0.191957 0.395735 0.821840
2025-07-13 0.006800 0.016949 0.039304 0.090519 0.202260 0.429761 0.919209
2025-07-20 0.006112 0.015885 0.038224 0.091191 0.210536 0.460765 1.014294
2025-07-27 0.005495 0.014876 0.037104 0.091593 0.218247 0.491423 1.112087
2025-08-03 0.005015 0.014118 0.036445 0.092939 0.228193 0.527856 1.226132
2025-08-10 0.004699 0.013726 0.036596 0.096219 0.242968 0.576354 1.371743
2025-08-17 0.004087 0.012422 0.034283 0.093118 0.242264 0.590236 1.441427
2025-08-24 0.003696 0.011657 0.033226 0.093021 0.248805 0.621329 1.553848
2025-08-31 0.003300 0.010801 0.031791 0.091723 0.252157 0.645275 1.652030
2025-09-07 0.003088 0.010459 0.031699 0.093998 0.264934 0.693148 1.812637
2025-09-14 0.002776 0.009739 0.030437 0.092867 0.268615 0.719097 1.922227
2025-09-21 0.002457 0.008936 0.028801 0.090436 0.268468 0.735413 2.009424